Thursday, October 10, 2019

What did Donald Trump do today?

He told the truth about Fox News polling.

A Fox News poll released yesterday showed an absolute majority of Americans, 51%, supporting Trump's impeachment and removal from office. Other recent polls have shown substantial majorities of Americans supporting the impeachment inquiry—58% in a Washington Post poll released on Tuesday, for example—but today's poll is the first showing that more than half of Americans think Trump's actions are serious enough to warrant him being removed from office.

In response, Trump lashed out on Twitter: "From the day I announced I was running for President, I have NEVER had a good @FoxNews Poll."

This is essentially true: Fox News polls really have never had good news for Trump. For example, he has never risen above 47% approval rating in that poll since taking office. 


And Fox News predicted Hillary Clinton would beat Trump by 4% in the 2016 election. (In reality, she beat him by 3% in the popular vote.)

In other words, even though the network's programming is extremely Trump-friendly, Fox News polls are among the most accurate out there. Polling analysis website fivethirtyeight.com gives Fox an A rating. Trump has never had a good Fox News poll because he has never had much popular support. 

This most recent polls showing a majority of Americans want Trump removed from office was taken between October 6-8. It does not reflect today's arrest of two associates of his lawyer, Rudy Giuliani, for campaign finance crimes apparently related to Trump's own attempts to gin up Ukrainian interference in American elections.

How is this a bad thing?

  • Just because the president doesn't like hearing something doesn't mean it's not true.